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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

When the fighting in Ukraine stops, America and Europe will likely end up facing Russia in a low-grade rivalry for years to come. Here is how to prevent that disordered rivalry from sliding into another war

Zelensky’s outgoing defence minister did not hold back in his criticism of military commanders—and his allegations deserve proper scrutiny

Ellie Geranmayeh is joined by Alia Moubayed, Randa Slim and Maha Yahya to discuss what the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, the US and Lebanon means for the Lebanese stability

Mark Leonard welcomes Camille Grand and Marta Prochwicz Jazowska to discuss last week’s NATO summit and how Europe can prepare for a future in which American security guarantees are no longer assured

Some European leaders seem to think that abasing themselves for Donald Trump’s pleasure is necessary to save NATO and keep the Western alliance alive. But by so desperately clinging to the good old days of the transatlantic relationship, Europe’s leaders are risking more than jus…

Roberto Vannacci’s far-right National Future is four months old and a force to be reckoned with. Italians and Europeans need to recognise the threat he poses to the democratic order

The war between the US and Iran is destabilising North African economies, putting an already fragile region at the very edge of polycrisis

It is high time the EU follow its own trade policy and ban trade of all goods and services from Israel’s illegal settlements in the West Bank

With American competitiveness declining, the EU has a chance to offer tech start-ups something better. To create this new generation of EU Incs, the bloc will first need to better align its regulation and resources

Le Pen is racing into the French presidential election, even with a fraud conviction hanging over her campaign. Europeans should begin preparing for the rupture her victory could bring

Mark Leonard welcomes Célia Belin and Jeremy Cliffe to discuss Marine Le Pen’s return to the French presidential race

The new defence investment plan is weighed down by the habits of Britain’s defence establishment. By contrast, the British public appear readier to accept change.

Andy Burnham, Britain’s likely next prime minister, is clear-eyed about his domestic political priorities. But, with the world order in flux, all eyes are on his foreign policy approach

The next industrial revolution will be built with microbes as much as machines. China understands this. Europe still has the science to compete but must act quickly before industrial leadership slips away again

Mark Leonard welcomes Mike Kuiken and Randy Schriver to examine the evolving US-China relationship and what it means for Europe

A nuclear deterrent does not preclude major war. Putin has learnt this lesson—now Europe needs to do the same.

As Russia’s war against Ukraine continues, European governments are facing difficult questions about military support, diplomacy and the long-term security of the continent. How should Europe balance continued assistance to Ukraine with preparations for future negotiations? In th…

Public support for stronger European defence is at its highest level in years. But can European leaders translate this momentum into lasting policy change? In the third episode of Making Defence European Again series, Celia Bélin, policy fellow and head of ECFR’s Paris office, Ja…

Europe’s security architecture is undergoing profound change. As the US reassesses its global priorities and questions grow over the future of transatlantic security, European governments face mounting pressure to strengthen their defence capabilities and rethink longstanding ass…

France is in a pivotal political moment. The prospect of the country electing a far-right president in 2027 raises profound questions for the future of Europe. What would a government led by Jordan Bardella or Marine Le Pen mean for European security, NATO and the EU’s ability to…

In Bosnia and Herzegovina, the United States is focused on doing business, at the expense of peace. There are ways for Europeans to acquire a veto over these destabilising activities; but the Trump administration may yet replicate this approach across the globe.

Mark Leonard welcomes Marcus Roberts to discuss the legacy of Brexit and the latest developments in British politics

Those who follow only intergovernmental negotiations or debates in the media might think that nothing has changed in the decade since the United Kingdom's voters decided to leave the European Union. Yet new polling finds that large majorities on both sides of the English Channel …

Ten years on from the referendum, the British electorate has moved on from its old divisions and—in a world of crisis—is embracing an ambitious move back towards the European Union

Julien Barnes-Dacey welcomes Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud to discuss how the recently inked US-Iran deal could deliver a more stable regional order