Knjižnica dokumenata

Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

The United Nations’ Global Dialogue on AI Governance is a test of whether the multilateral system can establish legitimate and inclusive AI oversight. Failure could accelerate regulatory fragmentation and make transboundary harm harder to manage.

Trump’s sagging poll numbers and the surging support for Democrats suggest that Republicans will likely pay a price for the war in November.

President Trump’s decision to pause arms sales to Taiwan will embolden China and weaken deterrence.

1947 – 2026 Since India’s independence, ties with the United States have weathered Cold War–era distrust and estrangement over India’s nuclear program. Relations have generally warmed in recent decades and cooperation has strengthened across a range of economic and political area…

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: Michelle Gavin, “The New African Power Map,” cfr.org Michelle Gavin, The Age of Change: How Urban Youth Are Transforming African Politics Opinions expressed on The President’s Inbox are solely those of the host or guests, not of C…

We discuss: Mentioned on the Episode:  David Kelly, “Five Scenarios for the Federal Debt,” J.P. Morgan Asset Management “Fiscal Policy under Pressure: High Debt, Rising Risks,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) “Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI),” Federal Reserve Ba…

The existing patchwork of AI standards and governance frameworks can both create and worsen cross-border harms from AI deployment. A central coordinating mechanism could help mitigate these risks. Can the United Nations play this role?

The new head of the U.S. Federal Reserve takes over at a time of heightened inflationary pressures and concern over the Fed’s independence. His first one hundred days should give signs on how he will handle the central bank’s core role and political pressures.

A short essay, originally published by CFR’s Future of American Strategy Initiative, on how power in the international economic system has evolved and lessons from a year when Trump weaponized access to U.S. demand while Xi weaponized access to Chinese supply.

The outbreak of a rare strain of Ebola that went undetected for several weeks in the Democratic Republic of Congo—and which has now spread to Uganda—is raising concerns about regional and global authorities’ ability to effectively respond.

The story of a U.S. Marine who made the ultimate sacrifice for the United States.

CFR President Michael Froman surveys a week of global developments in the context of the Council’s new Future of American Strategy Initiative.

The history of the Islamic Republic of Iran has been one of unending religious bigotry and harsh discrimination against Iran’s Baha’i population. Today, Iran has been joined by the State of Qatar in this illegal and immoral repression of the small and peaceful Baha’i community in…

We should avoid being lulled into complacency by economic conditions that are still reasonably solid.

We should avoid being lulled into complacency by economic conditions that are still reasonably solid.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s four-day visit to India comes after a year of nosediving relations. He will attempt to revive ties that appear rudderless after decades of progress.

1959 – 2026 Since Fidel Castro’s ascent to power in 1959, U.S.-Cuba ties have endured a nuclear crisis, a long U.S. economic embargo, and persistent political hostilities. The diplomatic relationship thawed under President Barack Obama, but many restrictions have since been renew…

The CFR Sovereign Risk Tracker can be used to gauge the vulnerability of emerging markets to default on external debt. On the map below, the darker the red the more vulnerable the country. The CFR Sovereign Risk Index value suggests the likelihood of a country defaulting within f…

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: “Joint Statement Following Discussions with Leaders of the People’s Republic of China (Shanghai Communiqué)” U.S. Department of State, Office of the Historian “President Reagan’s Six Assurances to Taiwan” C…

Alyssa Ayres has spent decades as a foreign policy practitioner on U.S.-India relations across government, think tanks, and the private sector. Her path was one of exploration, driven by a deep curiosity about her area of expertise.

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) has launched the Future of American Strategy Initiative, a multiyear effort to develop a forward-looking strategic vision for U.S. foreign policy. The initiative is launching at a time when the global role of the United States is more contes…

Alliances remain Washington's single greatest strategic advantage over China and Russia, but the old transatlantic bargain of U.S. protection for European loyalty is no longer politically sustainable. A more autonomous Europe within a rebalanced alliance is the better future for …

The liberal international order is not collapsing in a single dramatic moment but fragmenting, as middle powers build exclusive coalitions with their own norms and rules. If Washington does not rebuild trust with the middle-power countries that once anchored U.S. leadership, its …

The AI race is currently a contest between the United States and China in which private labs increasingly rival nation-states in power and reach. To maintain the United States’ lead, policymakers must build strong relationships with the labs and a regulatory environment that supp…

Wars in Ukraine and Iran have exposed both the depleted state of U.S. munitions stockpiles and the urgent need to integrate cheap, AI-enabled capabilities alongside legacy platforms. A grand strategy worthy of the name starts with a more resilient and innovative defense industria…