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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Kazakhstan’s military modernization efforts reflect an adaptive response to growing great power competition.

It’s almost eerie how easily contemporary China discourse parallels U.S. rhetoric about Japan in the 1980s – especially given the huge differences between the two countries.

Even a fragile ceasefire creates the illusion that a resolution pathway is in progress. In such highly contentious regions as the Middle East, ceasefires frequently function as transitional phases between confrontation, rather than endpoints. The key ...

While NATO can still deter Russian aggression with Article 5, it is losing the initiative on its eastern flank in the grey zone between peace and war. The problem is not military weakness, but a ...

On April 15, technology podcaster Dwarkesh Patel published a two-hour interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. For roughly forty minutes, Patel asked one question six different ways. The question was this: If American-made compute trains AI models with the serious cyber-offensive …

Among some nuclear strategists, military officers, and lawmakers, a belief bordering on the canonical has taken root that the United States is on the short end of a “deterrence gap” with Russia and China. Both countries, and especially Russia, possess theater-range nu…

A pair of children’s shoes is an odd place to look for the changing dynamics of American power. But stick with me because, after the past year, it is one of the clearest places to see them.Long before those shoes reach a store shelf, tariffs have raised the cost of material…

As Europe rearms, the real vulnerability is not on tanks or missiles but the software and networks behind them. The union can import weapons. It cannot afford to outsource the digital systems that make modern military power possible

Mark Leonard speaks to Liam Byrne about populism across Europe and the failure of mainstream politics to respond

Abram Paley and Nate Swanson helped negotiate the last US-Iran deal, a 2023 prisoner exchange. Here's what they learned and how it applies to today's talks. The post Signing is the easy part: Two former US negotiators on the perils of implementing a deal with Iran appeared first …

The price of fertilizers, many of which are derived from natural gas, have increased due to the conflict in Iran, putting food security at risk. The US has tools to help ease the crisis. The post How the US can use its natural gas abundance to ease rising fertilizer prices appear…

The European Union's mutual-defense clause, less well-known than NATO's commitment under Article 5 that an attack on one is an attack on all, is receiving new attention in light of questions over the US security commitment to Europe. The post Can the EU’s mutual-defense clause re…

Often overlooked by Western policymakers, Madagascar holds major critical mineral reserves and sits astride key maritime routes. As Russia deepens ties, the United States can’t afford to cede strategic ground. The post The race for Madagascar has already started appeared first on…

CFR President Michael Froman assesses the performance of Trump’s trade policy.

As governments around the world ramp up defense spending, a new era of rearmament is reshaping economies, markets, inflation, and politics. This episode examines Japan’s dramatic shift away from its postwar pacifist identity amid rising tensions with China, ongoing conflicts in t…

The United Nations’ Global Dialogue on AI Governance is a test of whether the multilateral system can establish legitimate and inclusive AI oversight. Failure could accelerate regulatory fragmentation and make transboundary harm harder to manage.

Trump’s sagging poll numbers and the surging support for Democrats suggest that Republicans will likely pay a price for the war in November.

Ideas for a cyber service have been floated before. Some experts argue now is the right time.

Project Jailbreak is helping to get contractors open up their systems to each other.

Commercial location data has been used to "target or surveil U.S. personnel in theater,” CENTCOM says.

Toplines Russian President Vladimir Putin has likely developed a false perception of the Russian military’s successes in Ukraine based on heavily exaggerated maps from the Russian…

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute are publishing daily updates to provide analysis…

Minister says new taxes on company profits and short-term rentals will help to curb inflation, now running at 5.4 per cent, one of the highest levels in the EU.

Across global security institutions, caring responsibilities are reshaping who can deploy, who can lead and who remains in uniform. New research from Monash University’s Global Peace and Security research hub, funded by Global Affairs Canada ...

Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists. Read more below.***IranThere has been increasing chatter that Washington and Tehran are nearin…