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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Elsewhere in the region, Hungarian parliament revokes planned withdrawal from the ICC; speculation explodes over possible sale of Czech maker of Semtex; Poland and UK sign a new security and defence treaty.

The Tibetan movement has long been dependent on the personal moral authority of the Dalai Lama. In a post-Dalai Lama world, the Central Tibetan Administration will need to step up.

South Korea’s demographic crisis is exposing a deeper problem: how class, gender, education, housing, and family background shape who is considered marriageable.

Disruptions in Hormuz immediately generate concern regarding Malacca, another vital maritime chokepoint.

The Tatmadaw’s advances will have implications not only for Myanmar’s internal conflict, but for neighboring India and Bangladesh.

With the shift in China-U.S. relations, India is emerging as the strategic cog in the U.S. wheel, Pakistan as a tactical partner, NATO as the anchor of the Atlantic alliance, and the Quad as a tool to serve the Indo‑Pacific.

Hieromonk Iakov Vorontsov, arrested on drug-related charges after attempting to establish a non-Moscow aligned Orthodox church in Kazakhstan, now faces forced psychological treatment reminiscent of Soviet-era repression.

Unlike Chinese investments in the past, which were state-backed and focused on infrastructure, the B2B model is more commercial and a business-driven partnership.

Author Jon Mitchell’s new book offers some answers.

An Indian Ocean-focused initiative is welcome. But it will need to support a democratic information-sharing culture, if it is to attract participation from all regional countries.

Kazakhstan’s military modernization efforts reflect an adaptive response to growing great power competition.

It’s almost eerie how easily contemporary China discourse parallels U.S. rhetoric about Japan in the 1980s – especially given the huge differences between the two countries.

Even a fragile ceasefire creates the illusion that a resolution pathway is in progress. In such highly contentious regions as the Middle East, ceasefires frequently function as transitional phases between confrontation, rather than endpoints. The key ...

While NATO can still deter Russian aggression with Article 5, it is losing the initiative on its eastern flank in the grey zone between peace and war. The problem is not military weakness, but a ...

On April 15, technology podcaster Dwarkesh Patel published a two-hour interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. For roughly forty minutes, Patel asked one question six different ways. The question was this: If American-made compute trains AI models with the serious cyber-offensive …

Among some nuclear strategists, military officers, and lawmakers, a belief bordering on the canonical has taken root that the United States is on the short end of a “deterrence gap” with Russia and China. Both countries, and especially Russia, possess theater-range nu…

A pair of children’s shoes is an odd place to look for the changing dynamics of American power. But stick with me because, after the past year, it is one of the clearest places to see them.Long before those shoes reach a store shelf, tariffs have raised the cost of material…

As Europe rearms, the real vulnerability is not on tanks or missiles but the software and networks behind them. The union can import weapons. It cannot afford to outsource the digital systems that make modern military power possible

Mark Leonard speaks to Liam Byrne about populism across Europe and the failure of mainstream politics to respond

Abram Paley and Nate Swanson helped negotiate the last US-Iran deal, a 2023 prisoner exchange. Here's what they learned and how it applies to today's talks. The post Signing is the easy part: Two former US negotiators on the perils of implementing a deal with Iran appeared first …

The price of fertilizers, many of which are derived from natural gas, have increased due to the conflict in Iran, putting food security at risk. The US has tools to help ease the crisis. The post How the US can use its natural gas abundance to ease rising fertilizer prices appear…

The European Union's mutual-defense clause, less well-known than NATO's commitment under Article 5 that an attack on one is an attack on all, is receiving new attention in light of questions over the US security commitment to Europe. The post Can the EU’s mutual-defense clause re…

Often overlooked by Western policymakers, Madagascar holds major critical mineral reserves and sits astride key maritime routes. As Russia deepens ties, the United States can’t afford to cede strategic ground. The post The race for Madagascar has already started appeared first on…

CFR President Michael Froman assesses the performance of Trump’s trade policy.

As governments around the world ramp up defense spending, a new era of rearmament is reshaping economies, markets, inflation, and politics. This episode examines Japan’s dramatic shift away from its postwar pacifist identity amid rising tensions with China, ongoing conflicts in t…