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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Twenty-five years ago, the Australian Strategic Policy Institute began with a deceptively simple proposition: Australian strategic policy would be better if the ideas informing it were contested. I have spent almost 12 of those 25 ...

Few bilateral relationships matter more to Australia than the one with Indonesia, and few have changed as much over the past 25 years. It is almost forgotten that Australia’s Cold War defence strategy was built ...

Twenty-five years ago, the world’s knowledge of al-Qaeda, Vladimir Putin, China’s military ambitions and cyber capabilities, and the advantages of nuclear submarines resided mainly in the classified domains of our intelligence agencies and defence services. ...

In six months of on-again, off-again fighting with Iran, the United States has effectively exhausted its supply of heavy air defence interceptors. These are the only interceptors that have any ability to shoot down the ...

This week is National Science Week. When the Minister for Industry, Senator Tim Ayres, launched it at Questacon, he put it well: our scientific capability is critical to Australia’s economic security, resilience and productivity. AI ...

Welcome to the latest edition of ASPI’s Fault Lines. Every fortnight, ASPI’s Defence Strategy Program monitors the actions and developments shaping the regional order and Australia’s security. This edition covers the period from 7 August to 20 August ...

India needs to pay greater attention to South Asia’s digital transformation as part of its regional strategy. Digital infrastructure is no longer simply an economic or developmental issue. As telecommunications networks, cloud infrastructure, data centres ...

News about an Indonesian frigate exercising with a Chinese warship 130 to 150 km east of Taiwan was always going to raise eyebrows. The exercise ast week was the first time China had conducted such ...

Artificial intelligence leaders think the technology might get smart enough to improve itself without human help within a year. But they’re not sure. They’re confident AI will be able to match virtually any human skill, ...

President Donald Trump’s instruction to the Pentagon on Sunday to ‘substantially reduce’ joint military exercises with South Korea comes at a particularly difficult moment. Trump has cited the cost of the exercises, Seoul’s unwillingness to ...

China’s leadership recognised nearly a decade ago that AI is power. It gives militaries an edge, economies access to fast-track development, and governments a chance to expand international and geopolitical influence. As Beijing seeks global ...

The Pentagon’s top policy official, Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Elbridge Colby, used his first Southeast Asian tour last week to make a pitch for why regional countries should partner with the United States ...

The signals are getting clear enough: Japan is becoming an ally of Australia. The latest indication is that Japanese Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi is this week visiting Australia for the second time in four months. ...

As armed forces and their suppliers work on costly lasers to knock down cheap drones, the drone makers can easily reach for inexpensive responses from the building industry. Fire engineers have quite a few ways ...

The meeting in Canberra tomorrow between the defence ministers of Australia and Japan, Richard Marles and Shinjiro Koizumi, is an opportunity to set bilateral priorities for defence industry cooperation beyond Australia’s acquisition of Upgraded Mogami-class ...

The United States has had enough in cyberspace. The White House has now created a program under which American companies can conduct offensive cyber operations against ransomware gangs and other ‘cyber-enabled transnational criminal organizations.’ Australia ...

Taiwan’s been opening its intelligence archives – with lamentable results. The opening of the records, which began in February 2026, has damaged the reputations of people named in the declassified files. This has included serving ...

Australia is helping Southeast Asian countries see more of what happens in their waters. It should now equip them to communicate what they see. On 21 July, Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong announced an additional ...

Last month, US Senator Tammy Duckworth warned that China may be more likely to impose an economic blockade on Taiwan in 2028 than launch a full-scale invasion. The most consequential part of her warning was ...

Russia has a potent yet often overlooked fleet of nuclear-powered and conventional attack submarines in the Pacific. An explainer from ASPI published on 13 August argues that Russia is well placed to assist China in ...

The marine park around the Cocos (Keeling) Islands should be understood as a national security asset, not just a conservation zone. This demands a whole-of-government approach coordinated by Australia’s Department of Defence, other Commonwealth and ...

Simultaneous shifts in the character of warfare and in the international system are heightening Australia’s risk of strategic surprise. Changes in one domain could unexpectedly coalesce with changes in another, rendering the country suddenly more ...

Australia, so dependent on Britain for AUKUS, needn’t worry about new Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s commitment to defence or about opportunities for cooperation. If the new prime minister’s perceived focus on British domestic issues have ...

For 80 years, there was an expectation that when international crises threatened to spiral into war, the United Nations would be at the centre of efforts to prevent it. Yet during the recent Middle East ...

The Australian Defence Force is on a strong trajectory to become an integrated force greater than the sum of its parts, incorporating all five domains. Competition for people and resources across the domains will continue, ...