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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

The long-awaited Australia-Vanuatu Nakamal Agreement (Nakamal) gives Canberra something useful, but it doesn’t appear to be the deal Australia was initially seeking. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and ni-Vanuatu Prime minister Jotham Napat signed the ...

On 12 June, every Australian quietly lost access to Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5, the most capable AI model on earth. No warning. No negotiation. The model simply went dark. And the cut didn’t come from ...

In fighting an asymmetric war against a much larger adversary, Ukraine has sought to leverage technology wherever possible. First came the proliferation of first-person-view (FPV) drones across the battlefield. Now, uncrewed ground vehicles (UGVs) are ...

The announcement of an upgrade of the Australia-France Roadmap confirms that both countries are moving forward shoulder-to-shoulder in the global scrum. As Canberra and Paris strengthen their partnership and move past mutual misunderstandings, and as ...

The West’s strategy to contain China behind island chains risks being bypassed ­– China could gain free access to the Pacific by recovering territory lost to Russia in the 19th century. This may not be ...

In early 2025, a Chinese naval task group conducted a full circumnavigation of Australia. Ships were tracked, movements observed and conclusions quickly drawn. Much of the commentary treated it as a show of force – ...

After several decades of unprecedented development, Asia today stands at a hinge point, writes Nick Bisley in his new book, Asian Crucible: Globalization, Geopolitics and the Contest for the Future. Bisley presents three futures that ...

The strategic case for Darwin’s role in Indo-Pacific medical preparedness has largely been made. What remains unresolved is the issue of implementation, which is now a pressing challenge. At the 2025 Shangri-La Dialogue, US Defence ...

There’s a saying about submarine warfare: ‘there are two types of naval vessels – submarines and targets.’ Nuclear-powered submarines, SSNs, are the true apex predator of the oceans in war. The chief of the Royal ...

Australia’s bid for a seat on the 2029–30 United Nations Security Council should not be run as a diplomatic sprint. The vote is due in June 2028, but the real test is already underway: how ...

Australia has long debated the future of our submarine capability. The decision that we’ve reached is that nuclear-powered submarines are the answer. Since reaching that decision, very little has actually changed, but, in recent months, ...

Counter-disinformation should become a bilateral Australia–Japan priority, an explainer published today by ASPI and Japan Nexus Intelligence argues. Mission leads should be appointed in Australia’s Office of National Intelligence and Japan’s newly established National Intelligenc…

The adaptive, risk-reducing process known as spiral development will increasingly feature in Australian military acquisition, Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy told the ASPI Defence Conference on Thursday. A rapid, ongoing project for counter-drone capability was ...

AUKUS Pillar One will keep Australia in a shrinking group of countries operating submarines in coming decades, Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles told the ASPI Defence Conference on Thursday. Submarines would become harder to operate, ...

Australians received two security assessments on separate days this week but need to see them as directly related. The first was a rare joint statement from the Five Eyes cybersecurity agency heads on digital threats ...

When the director-general of the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation speaks, people tend to listen. And in his annual threat assessment address last night – his seventh – Mike Burgess was speaking to multiple audiences, including ...

Addressing the common threats facing the Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific will require effective cross-regional mechanisms. Hybrid threats are among the most pertinent given their increasingly transnational, multidimensional and persistent nature. The European Union and Australia, …

Western Australia’s elevation of Defence West to a statutory authority is emblematic of the much larger national debate about how Australia organises power, capability and industry in an era of strategic competition. Defence West can ...

AI is now financed across almost every line of the Australian defence budget. It is not, however, governed across them. The 2026 National Defence Strategy (NDS) commits about A$425 billion in capability investment by 2035–36, ...

In a weeks’ time, Australia’s veteran support landscape will undergo its most significant reform in generations. The rate of veteran suicide is a national tragedy, and that is why the government has worked quickly to ...

Any assessment of the war between the United States and Iran must come to grips with two seemingly contradictory observations. The US definitely secured a military win and the Iranian regime perhaps emerged strategically stronger. ...

Hacktivists, while individually unsophisticated, are collectively generating persistent disruption, particularly during geopolitical crises. Their impact is being amplified by a wider accessibility of tools, faster mobilisation and alignment with real world events. Cybersecurity …

The Future Defence Estate Audit, released in February, should be considered the beginning of the decision-making process on divestment, not its endpoint. Proposed divestment sites should be assessed through a transparent framework that weighs strategic, ...

In the year or so since ASPI released its National Food Security Preparedness Green Paper, its argument that Australia should strengthen its food system as a matter of national security has been reinforced with uncomfortable ...

AI companies are scoping Australia as a country for frontier AI training outside the US. They are ready to meet the government’s data centre expectations, but copyright is a time-sensitive blocker as they are not ...