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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Ilie Bolojan’s toppling in a no-confidence vote has exposed Romania’s fiscal and political insecurities. Rebuilding the country’s pro-European coalition could bring stability, but at the expense of further populist backsliding over the long term

As Russian aggression continues and Trump’s US threatens NATO, it is even more vital for a unified defence of the continent

ECFR polling reveals that Peter Magyar’s mandate is far more complicated than EU leaders were hoping for: voters want domestic repair first, are split on Ukraine, and increasingly reluctant to ditch Russian energy

Europe’s battery dependence on China is clear, but closing the gap alone will be difficult. Partnering with South Korea, the world’s second-largest manufacturer, offers a faster and more realistic route

Major General Mohammad Daajna (محمد دعاجنة) has been the head of the Palestinian Authority’s Presidential Guard since 2024. He replaced Munir al-Zuabi. Daajna is also a member of Fatah‘s Revolutionary Council.

The EU is right to raise its ambitions on the electrification rate—but the target is highly stretching. Only a more aggressive approach will suffice.

Despite the many threats around it—and in part because of them—the continent can emerge from this period stronger and more resilient

America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran's path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current evidence about Iran’s nuclear activities to determine which of six possible scenarios is most likely.

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

The IMO’s Net-Zero Framework is critical for EU competitiveness and the clearest path to decarbonise shipping. African backing may prove decisive as American and Gulf pressure stalls progress.

Trump’s troop cut in Germany punishes Merz and halts America’s missile plans. Now Europe needs to accelerate its sovereign long-range strike capabilities and forge new defence partnerships

Mark Leonard is joined by Ayşe Zarakol to explore whether we are entering an era of “unorder”—and what this means for Europe’s ability to adapt, survive and redefine its role in the world

Iranian strikes on Qatar’s LNG infrastructure are complicating Brussels’ plans to ditch Russian gas, handing Washington and Moscow fresh leverage

The Iran war is a reminder Europeans should move quickly to install a monitoring network that could identify a “dirty bomb”.

Mark Leonard introduces his new book Surviving Chaos: Geopolitics When the Rules Fail. He is joined by Carl Bildt, Ivan Krastev, Gideon Rachman and Helle Thorning-Schmidt to unpack how capital, climate, chips, conflict and civilisation are reshaping global politics

The EU’s new Industrial Accelerator Act is missing the key ingredient needed for acceleration—a reliable supply of processed minerals. For this, Europeans should turn to African countries and offer them industrial investments tied to offtake commitments

China is trending on Western social media. While rooted in disillusionment with America, the trend is making it far easier for Beijing to build soft power among Europe’s youth

Bulgarians have overwhelmingly voted for Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria party to take power. Radev has espoused the benefits of EU membership, but Europeans should be wary of his pro-Russia rhetoric

Pro-Russian Rumen Radev and his new political party have won a majority in Bulgaria’s parliamentary election. As prime minister, he will probably sound like Viktor Orban when it comes to foreign policy but act more like Robert Fico

Europe and Japan seek deeper defence-industrial cooperation; but the fragmented EU system is creating challenges. As a first step, Tokyo should establish stronger bilateral partnerships, particularly with Germany and Poland

Mark Leonard is joined by Zsuzsanna Szelényi to talk about the defeat of Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán by Péter Magyar

European leaders should adopt a new approach—the PACT model—for Ukraine’s future accession to the EU. This model will help them facilitate the peace process while also giving confidence to their electorates.

Brussels should set clear conditions for Hungary’s European comeback—and use its moment of leverage to incentivise a geopolitical shift

Europe’s energy, industrial and migration interests all converge in its southern neighbourhood, where rivals are eroding its influence. The new Pact for the Mediterranean can reverse this, but only if Brussels puts grand bargains on the table