25 dokumenata — stranica 15
Australia is not prepared for the war over perception
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 25. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Australia’s defence strategy risks overlooking the increasing influence of perception and cognition in conflict. Adversaries are increasingly using digital information environments to shape how crises are interpreted and responded to. Australia must prepare for the ...

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No, the Quad isn’t dead. This week’s foreign ministers’ meeting proves it
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 25. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The Quad is not dead. Some are declaring its demise, but tomorrow’s meeting of the foreign ministers of Australia, India, Japan and the United States in New Delhi will be uplifting proof of life amid ...

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Japanese training at Darwin offers more combined-force value than Townsville
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 24. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Japan’s decision to train again in Townsville makes operational sense. Still, it exposes a deeper strategic problem in how Australia is shaping its northern defence posture. The choice aligns with Japan’s immediate training needs. Yet ...

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Rubio looks increasingly plausible for the 2028 presidential election
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 22. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Amid the upheavals of Donald Trump’s second term, Marco Antonio Rubio is getting a fresh look as a possible Republican standard bearer in 2028. The secretary of state, speaking at the White House press podium ...

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Bookshelf: 2026 looks awfully like 1914
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 22. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Many analysts may say the world is in a new Cold War, but it isn’t, writes Odd Arne Westad in his new book, The Coming Storm: Power, Conflict and Warnings from History. Westad, a renowned ...

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Every country should understand space as a wafighting domain
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 21. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Touring Normandy beaches shortly after D-Day in 1944, General Dwight D Eisenhower reportedly said, ‘If I didn’t have air supremacy, I wouldn’t be here.’ Today, space power has achieved the decisiveness of air power, and ...

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Fighting online youth radicalisation, Australia and India can teach each other
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 21. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Two democracies, very different in scale, are grappling with the same problem: how to protect young people from radicalisation through online gaming. After Australia’s worst terrorist attack, the Bondi Beach massacre in December, the federal ...

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Beyond the front line: Ukraine is deepening its drone wall
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Europa · 21. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Long-range Ukrainian strikes have dominated recent headlines, and for good reason: they are causing lasting damage. In April, Oleksandr Syrskyi, Ukraine’s commander-in-chief, said strikes on Russian military infrastructure had caused around $25.5 billion in damage. ...

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How to build a northern Australia economic hybrid zone
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 20. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Northern Australia is often described as constrained by distance, workforce and cost. That framing misses the point. By any other definition, it’s a greenfield industrial system, with abundant energy, world-class mineral endowment, available land and ...

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More risk and cost: de-scoped Collins LOTE strengthens case for looking to Japan
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 20. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The reduced Collins-class submarine Life-of-Type Extension (LOTE) program, announced on 19 May, will cost more than previously expected and deliver less capability. The government’s decision to cut back the scope of the work also increases ...

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Northern Australia needs an elite First Nations crisis capability program
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 20. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Each wet season, Northern Australia and the wider Oceania region are reminded that climate stress is no longer episodic. Cyclones, floods, extreme heat, infrastructure failure and displacement arrive with uncomfortable frequency. And they are becoming ...

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China is bolstering food security with biomanufacturing. Australia should, too
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 19. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Australia urgently needs sovereign biomanufacturing capability to reduce its exposure to fragile global supply chains, especially those tied to agri-food systems. A national biomanufacturing strategy is essential to achieve this. China and the United States ...

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Valkyrie redux: supercruising bombers could viably replace B-52s
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 19. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The US Air Force just revealed that it was launching a study of a new heavy bomber that might replace the Boeing B-52. The analysis of alternatives in the FY27 budget will look at ‘future ...

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China’s influence in Solomons will probably survive leadership change
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 19. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

China’s influence in Solomon Islands is likely to weather the accession to power on 15 May of a prime minister who’s less favourable to it than his predecessor. While Australia has improved its relationship with ...

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Strike missiles and cheap drones: how Southeast Asia can deter China
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 18. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Southeast Asian countries looking for security against China should shift the weight of their defence spending to deploying highly mobile, mostly inexpensive equipment that it would struggle to counter. These would be strike missiles, cheap ...

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In 2026, a lot of Taiwan’s military equipment is just deadweight
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 18. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Late in April, a batch of American-made M1A2 Abrams tanks arrived by sea in the Port of Taipei. The 28 M1A2s are the last of 108 Abrams tanks that Taiwan bought from the United States ...

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Digitally watched without consent: spyware as a tool of coercive control
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 18. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Spyware, once primarily used by intelligence agencies and nation-states, has become a tool of intimate partner abuse, quietly deployed against people – mostly women – who have no idea they are being watched. In an ...

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NDS 2026 – Focus on high-intensity conflict neglects peacekeeping and HADR
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 17. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Australian defence policy focuses too much on the risk of high-intensity, mostly conventional conflict at large cost to capabilities for peacekeeping and humanitarian support, its most likely military operations. Many costly new equipment priorities, such ...

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Not just commercial litigation: China is trying to keep Darwin Port
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 15. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Litigation by the Chinese lessee of Darwin Port is an attempt at stymying the Australian government’s stated aim of returning the facility to Australian control. The case started at the World Bank is no mere ...

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After Mythos, Australia should prepare to battle for access to frontier AI
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 15. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The lesson of Anthropic’s new Claude Mythos AI model, with potent hacking capabilities, is becoming clear: in the era of increasingly powerful AI, national security priorities will prevail. Countries like Australia can’t assume they’ll always ...

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To prepare for supply-chain shocks, focus on systems of disruption
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 14. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Supply chains built for efficiency are colliding with a world defined by disruption. In this context, Australia now faces a structural challenge in securing critical inputs such as fuel and fertiliser. Government, industry and consumers ...

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Bookshelf: the CIA in the 21st century
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 14. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The mission of the US Central Intelligence Agency is extremely hazardous, writes Tim Weiner in his July 2025 book, The Mission: the CIA in the 21st century. Collecting intelligence runs many risks and can test ...

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Mr Trump goes to Beijing – Views from ASPI analysts
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 14. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping are meeting in Beijing on May 14 and 15 for the first time in more than six months. It’s Trump’s first visit to China since 2017. The two leaders ...

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For Indo-Pacific states, the Arctic’s security importance is rising
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 13. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The Arctic is no longer a distant sideshow. It is becoming a contested strategic arena, and Indo-Pacific states should start treating it that way. What happens in the High North will increasingly affect global trade, ...

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No solidarity: Southeast Asian countries split as each seeks Iranian oil
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 13. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Southeast Asian governments are failing to respond as a bloc to the severe disruption in oil, gas and commercial shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam have each moved to ...

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