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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

The US commitment to Indo-Pacific stability is being tested not by strategic ambiguity but by industrial reality. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s recent notification to Japanese Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi that deliveries of US-made Tomahawk ...

Australia has a cybersecurity workforce problem, and part of the explanation is hiding in plain sight: the language of the field actively repels the people we need. Last year, I was on a panel for ...

As Australia strengthens the protection of critical seabed infrastructure, it should draw on Taiwan’s frontline experience. Taiwan has been battling this problem for three years. At the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore on 30 May, Deputy ...

After a bruising tussle inside his administration, President Donald Trump has gone for a decidedly non-committal approach to AI safety and security that’s unlikely to survive sustained contact with reality. He issued an executive order ...

The Antarctic Treaty is glorified as evidence of managing cooperation in a contested world. Forged in the Cold War, the treaty system has effectively held conflict at bay for almost seven decades. Geopolitics has been ...

On 3 June in New York, the UN General Assembly faces a choice: will the institution charged with enforcing international rules include a voice that’s prepared to call out their breaches? The General Assembly will ...

Remoteness from conflict is emerging as a key advantage for Australia in the competition to host AI data centres. The country already enjoys great advantages including prospectively abundant and cheap energy from renewable sources. Israeli ...

With the ‘signature project’ on payloads for uncrewed undersea vehicles (UUVs) announced by Australia, Britain and the United States on 30 May at the Shangri-La Dialogue, AUKUS Pillar Two transitions from scientific potential to realising ...

Governments still organise around discrete shocks, yet the operating environment increasingly delivers continuous, concurrent and cascading pressures across economic, social, technological and environmental systems. Australia needs to shift from managing shocks to managing intera…

International rules still matter. That was the common theme at this year’s Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, particularly for Indo-Pacific nations. Australia’s deputy prime minister and defence minister, Richard Marles, told the conference, ‘The international rules-based ...

A new element has just appeared in Australia–Japan defence and security cooperation: strategic depth. But the two countries, having mentioned it, haven’t gone far to explain what they mean by it. Nonetheless, some fairly safe ...

China appears to be playing the long game in pursuit of its interests in the Indo-Pacific. In this series of Strategist articles, Joe Keary, Raji Rajagopalan and Linus Cohen discuss how China is pursuing its regional ...

Australian official thought regarding the defence of Australia has been more independently minded than is portrayed by certain academics and commentators who, often not possessing a deep understanding of the history of Australian strategy, have ...

Even a fragile ceasefire creates the illusion that a resolution pathway is in progress. In such highly contentious regions as the Middle East, ceasefires frequently function as transitional phases between confrontation, rather than endpoints. The key ...

While NATO can still deter Russian aggression with Article 5, it is losing the initiative on its eastern flank in the grey zone between peace and war. The problem is not military weakness, but a ...

Across global security institutions, caring responsibilities are reshaping who can deploy, who can lead and who remains in uniform. New research from Monash University’s Global Peace and Security research hub, funded by Global Affairs Canada ...

China is no longer a rising power that’s seeking accommodation within the existing international system. It is increasingly acting like a state that believes history has turned in its favour. Beijing is confident it can ...

ASPI has published The cost of Defence every year since 2002. The series has, year after year, assessed what governments said they would do against what the books showed. It’s the type of scrutiny that ...

Australia’s 2026–27 budget commits the federal government to daily spending around A$181.9 million on defence. That headline sits on the cover of our 2026 The cost of Defence report, released today. The number is sobering. ...

US President Donald Trump’s suggestion that he might speak directly with Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te about weapons sales matters not because a call has been scheduled – it has not – but because of what ...

By late this century, more than 50 percent of humanity could be exposed to life-threatening heat and humidity. But one of climate change’s deadliest emerging risks remains poorly understood: lethal humidity. Climate change is not ...

In today’s national security environment, experience alone is no longer enough. As technology, industry and strategic competition evolve at speed, Australia needs to do more than rely on established voices. It needs to actively amplify ...

Since not long after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the democratic world has largely watched passively as China has been the main enabler of Moscow’s war effort. Despite knowing about Russia’s reliance on ...

When a software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform fails, it doesn’t just fail one customer; it fails whole sectors. That’s the security problem hiding inside organisations becoming more and more dependent on SaaS providers. Customers need to focus on ...

Europe’s growing drone problem is a governance problem. The hardware exists. What is missing, across most of the continent, is the legal authority to deploy it, the jurisdictional clarity to coordinate it, and the political ...