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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

The country’s elite is paying the price for championing dubious ideologies at the expense of basic economics.

Artificial intelligence diffusion is stress-testing the assumptions that underpin U.S. cybersecurity. Inspecting those foundations isn’t a precaution against scaling AI—it’s the precondition for doing it with confidence.

A technical post with an important update to my estimate of China’s true holdings of U.S. bonds.

April’s edition of China and Climate provides an update on China’s response to the Iran war and unpacks recent climate governance measures, the Spanish prime minister’s trip to Beijing, Chinese battery manufacturing strengths, and the anticipation of extreme flooding in 2026.

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes the form and substance of this week’s highly anticipated meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Welcome to the Daily News Brief, CFR’s flagship morning newsletter summarizing the top global news and analysis of the day. Top of the Agenda Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping both praised their Beijing summit for improving bilateral ties, though the visit produced few speci…

Is the dollar still indispensable to world trade and finance? The Iran War is revealing its vulnerabilities.

As the United States becomes a less reliable trade and security partner, several U.S. allies are seeking to keep an open door with China—but experts caution these moves are neither sustainable nor realistic.

Washington’s desire to extract mineral wealth has led it to full backing of Felix Tshisekedi, even as he angles for a third term.

Welcome to the Daily News Brief, CFR’s flagship morning newsletter summarizing the top global news and analysis of the day. Top of the Agenda Trump and Xi hailed the potential for a positive turn in relations during talks in Beijing today—though each side emphasized different poi…

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: “President Xi Jinping Speaks with U.S. President Donald J. Trump on the Phone” Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs Evelyn Cheng, “Trump is taking more than a dozen U.S. executives to China. Jensen Huang isn’t one of them,” CNBC Opinions expre…

Kenneth I. Juster has practiced international law, worked in tech, and been the U.S. ambassador to India. He sat down with CFR to discuss managing diplomatic crises and the lessons he learned from the private sector.

Lebanon has had a more open political system than many other Middle East countries, but it has long suffered dysfunction at the hands of corruption and mismanagement, sectarian elites, and the force of non-state actors and their external patrons.

Welcome to the Daily News Brief, CFR’s flagship morning newsletter summarizing the top global news and analysis of the day. Top of the Agenda Trump arrives in China today with a delegation of administration officials and CEOs for high-stakes talks on trade and international secur…

Trump arrives seeking headline deals and visible momentum ahead of the midterms. Xi is playing a longer game, focused on strategic patience rather than substantive compromise. The asymmetry between these two time horizons will shape what the summit produces—and what it quietly le…

We discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: “At the Trump-Xi Summit, China Will Have the Upper Hand,” CFR.org Chris McGuire, “How Trump Should Approach AI Talks With China: Targeted Dialogue, Maximum Pressure,” CFR.org  “Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI),” Federal Reserve…

Facing its gravest economic crisis in years, ASEAN convened its leaders’ summit amid expectations that its member states might finally be able to unite on an energy plan. Instead, the grouping again demonstrated why it remains one of the world’s most paralyzed and useless multila…

Iran could not defeat the United States militarily, but it never needed to—and China is taking note. By choking the Strait of Hormuz, spiking energy markets, and running down the clock, Tehran offered Beijing a case study in how to impose costs without seeking victory.

The Trump administration’s Operation Epic Fury has fueled a global hunger crisis affecting millions of people. Meanwhile, the State Department is sitting on $5.4 billion in unspent humanitarian funds. The rainy day it was saving them for has arrived.

Welcome to the Daily News Brief, CFR’s flagship morning newsletter summarizing the top global news and analysis of the day. Top of the Agenda Trump declared the ceasefire with Iran was on “life support” yesterday—suggesting a potential return to fighting—while his administration …

The country’s Victory Day parade was shorter, quieter, and notably tank-free—a reflection of how dramatically Russia’s position has shifted since the invasion of Ukraine. It was a clear illustration of the cumulative toll the war has had on Russian society, the security state, an…

Welcome to the Daily News Brief, CFR’s flagship morning newsletter summarizing the top global news and analysis of the day. Top of the Agenda Trump rejected Iran’s latest peace proposal yesterday as multiple Gulf countries reported incoming drone attacks. Even as the main parties…